Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 29.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 29.08% ( | 29.29% ( | 41.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.19% ( | 63.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.95% ( | 83.05% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% ( | 38.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.51% ( | 75.49% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( | 30.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( | 66.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 2-1 @ 6.3% ( 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 3-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.55% Total : 29.07% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0-0 @ 11.73% ( 2-2 @ 3.76% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 14.02% ( 0-2 @ 8.38% ( 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.35% Total : 41.63% |