Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lusitano Evora 1911 win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Fafe had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lusitano Evora 1911 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Fafe win was 0-1 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.