Taca de Portugal | 5th Round
Dec 17, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

Lusitano EvoraLusitano Evora 1911
vs.
Fafe

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal 5th Round clash between Lusitano Evora 1911 and Fafe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lusitano Evora 1911

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Last Game: Braga 2-1 Lusitano Evora
Wednesday, January 15 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
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Fafe

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Last Game: Fafe 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, October 19 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lusitano Evora 1911 win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Fafe has a probability of 27.45% and a draw has a probability of 26.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lusitano Evora 1911 win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Fafe win is 0-1 (8.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.53%).

Result
Lusitano Evora 1911DrawFafe
46.1% (-1.072 -1.07)26.45% (0.304 0.3)27.45% (0.768 0.77)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29% (-0.706 -0.71)54.71% (0.707 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97% (-0.589 -0.59)76.03% (0.589 0.59)
Lusitano Evora 1911 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (-0.803 -0.8)23.69% (0.804 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (-1.17 -1.17)57.8% (1.171 1.17)
Fafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (0.246 0.25)35.1% (-0.245 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15% (0.257 0.26)71.84% (-0.256 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Lusitano Evora 1911 46.1%
    Fafe 27.45%
    Draw 26.44%
Lusitano Evora 1911DrawFafe
1-0 @ 11.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.226 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.293 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.183 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 27.45%