Taca de Portugal | 5th Round
Dec 27, 2025 at 2pm UK
 

Lusitano EvoraLusitano Evora 1911
0-1
Fafe

FT(HT: 0-0)
André Carvalho Braga (57')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal 5th Round clash between Lusitano Evora 1911 and Fafe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lusitano Evora 1911

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lusitano Evora 0-1 Fafe
Saturday, December 27 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Fafe

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lusitano Evora 0-1 Fafe
Saturday, December 27 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lusitano Evora 1911 win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Fafe had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lusitano Evora 1911 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Fafe win was 0-1 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Lusitano Evora 1911DrawFafe
45.13% (-0.46 -0.46)26.68% (0.214 0.21)28.19% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 49.34% (-0.48 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (-0.694 -0.69)55.19% (0.69 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.576 -0.58)76.43% (0.571 0.57)
Lusitano Evora 1911 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (-0.529 -0.53)24.36% (0.525 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (-0.748 -0.75)58.77% (0.744 0.74)
Fafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (-0.179 -0.18)34.76% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (-0.19 -0.19)71.5% (0.18599999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Lusitano Evora 1911 45.13%
    Fafe 28.19%
    Draw 26.67%
Lusitano Evora 1911DrawFafe
1-0 @ 11.96% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.13%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.195 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 28.19%