MX23RW : Saturday, February 15 06:19:09| >> :600:667795:667795:
Braga
Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 15, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio AXA

Braga
2 - 1
Lusitano Evora

Horta (22'), Horta (44')
Niakate (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Afonso Abreu Sousa (85')
Vinicius Rosa Soares (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Braga and Lusitano Evora 1911, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Braga
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Lusitano Evora 3-2 AVS
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Braga 3-0 Lusitano Evora 1911

Lusitano have already overcome two top-flight teams in this competition, but they are now set to face a Braga side that will be determined to make amends for their Taca da Liga disappointment last week. The hosts are massive favourites in this contest and we feel they will book their spot in the quarter-final with a fairly straightforward victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 82.98%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Lusitano Evora 1911 had a probability of 5.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Lusitano Evora 1911 win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawLusitano Evora 1911
82.98% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 11.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03) 5.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.99% (-0.284 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.25% (-0.134 -0.13)27.75% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.57% (-0.169 -0.17)48.43% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.14% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)4.86% (0.011 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.44% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)19.56% (0.032 0.03)
Lusitano Evora 1911 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.49% (-0.292 -0.29)48.51% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.4% (-0.213 -0.21)83.6% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Braga 82.97%
    Lusitano Evora 1911 5.9%
    Draw 11.13%
BragaDrawLusitano Evora 1911
3-0 @ 10.86% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 8.22% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.86% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 5.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
5-0 @ 4.97% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 82.97%
1-1 @ 5.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 2.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.36% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 11.13%
1-2 @ 1.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 5.9%

How you voted: Braga vs Lusitano Evora

Braga
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
Lusitano Evora 1911
5.9%
17
rhs 2.0
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