Taca de Portugal
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-
Andre Horta
22'
-
Ricardo Horta
44'
-
Sikou Niakate
83'
-
Marcos Vinicius Rosa Soares
21'
-
Paulo Afonso Abreu Sousa
85'
Braga vs Lusitano Evora 1911 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 82.98%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Lusitano Evora 1911 had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Lusitano Evora 1911 win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result
Braga
82.98%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
11.13%
▼
(-0.03)
Lusitano Evora 1911
5.9%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
48.99%
▼
(-0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.25%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
27.75%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 3.5
51.57%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
48.43%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 4.5
32.19%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
67.81%
▲
(+0.16)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
95.14%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
4.86%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
80.44%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
19.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Lusitano Evora 1911 Goals
Over 0.5
51.49%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 0.5
48.51%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 1.5
16.4%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
83.6%
▲
(+0.22)
Score analysis
Braga
82.97%
Draw
11.13%
Lusitano Evora 1911
5.9%
Braga
3-0
@
10.86%
▲
(+0.06)
2-0 @ 10.78% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.04)
6-0 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
7-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 82.97%
2-0 @ 10.78% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.04)
6-0 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
7-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 82.97%
Draw
1-1
@
5.16%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 11.13%
2-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 11.13%
Lusitano Evora 1911
1-2
@
1.87%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 5.9%
0-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 5.9%