Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 82.98%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Lusitano Evora 1911 had a probability of 5.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Lusitano Evora 1911 win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Lusitano Evora 1911
82.98% ( 0.09)	11.13% ( -0.03)	5.9% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 48.99% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.25% (

-0.13)

27.75% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.57% (

-0.17)

48.43% (

0.17)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.14% (

-0.01)

4.86% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.44% (

-0.03)

19.56% (

0.03)

Lusitano Evora 1911 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.49% (

-0.29)

48.51% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.4% (

-0.21)

83.6% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Braga 82.97%

Lusitano Evora 1911 5.9%

Draw 11.13%

Braga	Draw	Lusitano Evora 1911
3-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 4.13% Total : 82.97%	1-1 @ 5.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 11.13%	1-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.33% Total : 5.9%