Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Campo Estrela

Lusitano Evora
3 - 2
AVS

Lopes David (19', 64'), Angelo Perez Lopes (33' pen.)
Miguel Rosado Palancha (42'), dos Santos Farias Valverde (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nene (41' pen.), Luis (90+4')
Grau (23'), Verza Bertelli (31'), dos Santos Farias Valverde (31'), Assuncao (57')
Assuncao (57')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Lusitano Evora 1911 and AVS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lusitano Evora 1911

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Last Game: Lusitano Evora 0-0 Estoril (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
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AVS

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Estoril 0-0 AVS
Saturday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lusitano Evora 1911 had a probability of 22.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Lusitano Evora 1911 win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Lusitano Evora 1911DrawAVS
22.48% (0.055 0.05)24.22% (0.012999999999998 0.01)53.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13%49.86% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lusitano Evora 1911 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21% (0.052999999999997 0.05)36.78% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (0.052 0.05)73.57% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)18.65% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)49.97% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lusitano Evora 1911 22.48%
    AVS 53.28%
    Draw 24.22%
Lusitano Evora 1911DrawAVS
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.76% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 22.48%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 9.67% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 53.28%