Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Famalicao logo

AVS
2 - 3
Famalicao

Lopes (6'), Akinsola (30')
Grau (39'), Roux (50'), Lopes (72'), Fonseca (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Aranda (14'), Dias (17', 77')
Dias (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 0-5 Porto
Monday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Famalicao

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for AVS had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
AVSDrawFamalicao
18.53% (-0.455 -0.46)24.58% (-0.199 -0.2)56.9% (0.656 0.66)
Both teams to score 44.79% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.26% (0.152 0.15)55.74% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13% (0.126 0.13)76.88% (-0.121 -0.12)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.64% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)44.36% (0.44900000000001 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.58% (-0.366 -0.37)80.42% (0.369 0.37)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (0.31699999999999 0.32)19.5% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (0.51 0.51)51.38% (-0.508 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    AVS 18.53%
    Famalicao 56.89%
    Draw 24.57%
AVSDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-1 @ 4.67% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.86% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 18.53%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 14.14% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 11.55% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.3% (0.146 0.15)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.57% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 56.89%

How you voted: AVS vs Famalicao

AVS
0.0%
Draw
50.0%
Famalicao
50.0%
8