Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Estadio Capitao Josino da Costa
Famalicao logo

Lagoa
0 - 2
Famalicao


Silvino Mendes Tavares (60'), Aristides Dias Cortez (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yassir Zabiri (78', 87')
De Amorim (39'), Youssouf (51'), Riccieli (81')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Lagoa and Famalicao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lagoa

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Famalicao

All competitions
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Famalicao
Friday, October 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 71.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Lagoa had a probability of 9.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.46%) and 0-3 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Lagoa win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Famalicao in this match.

Result
LagoaDrawFamalicao
9.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)18.31% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.79% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.46% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (0.259 0.26)48.01% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (0.237 0.24)70.18% (-0.24000000000001 -0.24)
Lagoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.13% (0.203 0.2)52.87% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.43% (0.126 0.13)86.57% (-0.128 -0.13)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.98% (0.081999999999994 0.08)12.02% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.51% (0.176 0.18)37.5% (-0.177 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Lagoa 9.9%
    Famalicao 71.78%
    Draw 18.31%
LagoaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 4.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 9.9%
1-1 @ 8.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.9% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 18.31%
0-2 @ 14.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 13.46% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.42% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 5.33% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.4% (0.029 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.022 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.44% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 71.78%