Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
| 55.86% ( | 24.56% ( | 19.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% ( | 54.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% ( | 75.78% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.61% ( | 19.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.8% ( | 51.2% ( |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( | 42.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.24% ( | 78.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% ( 2-0 @ 11.05% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.85% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 2-2 @ 4.08% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 2-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.57% |