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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Braga

Nacional
0 - 3
Braga


Dias (29'), Vitor (75'), Sousa (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Niakate (77'), Bruma (83'), El Ouazzani (85')
Gorby (25'), Ribeiro (27'), Ferreira (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Nacional
Sunday, September 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Nacional 0-2 Braga

Braga will be licking their lips as they go up against a Nacional side against whom they are unbeaten in their last 15 encounters since October 2013. Margarido's men have struggled to find their feet in the big leagues, and given the gulf in quality and depth between the two teams, we fancy Os Arcebispos to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBraga
20.35% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 22.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 57.62% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)43.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)65.41% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)34.99% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (-0.055 -0.05)71.73% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)14.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.16% (0.016999999999996 0.02)42.84% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 20.35%
    Braga 57.62%
    Draw 22.02%
NacionalDrawBraga
2-1 @ 5.43% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.83% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20.35%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.45% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 6.05% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 57.62%

How you voted: Nacional vs Braga

Nacional
15.3%
Draw
4.2%
Braga
80.6%
72
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Nacional
1-3
Braga
Gomes (62')
Margarido (0'), Gustavo (70'), Esteves (74'), Witi (77')
Moutinho (16' pen.), Niakate (24'), Horta (44')
Niakate (45+4'), Moutinho (86')
Apr 25, 2023 7.30pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Braga
2-2
Nacional
Racic (33' pen.), Gomes (48')
Clayton (72'), Dudu (90+3' pen.)
Apr 12, 2023 7.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Nacional
0-5
Braga
Racic (25', 53'), Pizzi (43'), Banza (76' pen., 90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 21
Nacional
1-2
Braga
Riascos (69')
Pedrao (59')
Fransergio (25'), Ruiz (29')
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 4
Braga
2-1
Nacional
Fransergio (28'), Medeiros (42')
Sequeira (76')
Borges (86')
Ramos (31'), Kal (36'), Freitas (70'), Azouni (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon88002722524
2Porto87011841421
3Benfica75111751216
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara8503119215
5Braga8422136714
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes842298114
7FamalicaoFamalicao834194513
8MoreirenseMoreirense83231011-111
9Gil Vicente82421012-210
10AVS8233711-49
11Casa Pia8224611-58
12Rio AveRio Ave8224613-78
13AroucaArouca8215413-97
14BoavistaBoavista8134510-56
15Estoril PraiaEstoril8134411-76
16Estrela Amadora8125513-85
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense8116313-104


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