Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 20, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
0 - 3
Braga

Dias (29'), Vitor (75'), Sousa (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Niakate (77'), Bruma (83'), El Ouazzani (85')
Gorby (25'), Ribeiro (27'), Ferreira (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Nacional
Sunday, September 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 0-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Braga
20.35% ( -0.04)	22.02% ( -0.01)	57.62% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.47% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.98% (

-0.02)

43.01% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.58% (

-0.02)

65.41% (

0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.01% (

-0.05)

34.99% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.27% (

-0.05)

71.73% (

0.06)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32% (

0.01)

14.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.16% (

0.02)

42.84% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Nacional 20.35%

Braga 57.62%

Draw 22.02%

Nacional	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 20.35%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.02%	1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 57.62%