Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 25, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
3 - 1
Moreirense

Martinez (43'), Zalazar (56', 76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nlavo (53')
Marcelo (25'), Miguel Costa Santos (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, August 22 at 8.30pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 3-1 Arouca
Sunday, August 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Moreirense
68.49% ( 0.46)	18.61% ( -0.25)	12.9% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.58% (

0.61)

41.41% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.18% (

0.62)

63.81% (

-0.62)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.95% (

0.29)

11.04% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.61% (

0.64)

35.38% (

-0.64)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.72% (

0.06)

43.27% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.48% (

0.05)

79.52% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Braga 68.49%

Moreirense 12.9%

Draw 18.61%

Braga	Draw	Moreirense
2-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.93% Total : 68.49%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 18.61%	0-1 @ 4% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.9%