Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 5, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
4 - 3
Casa Pia

Djalo (12'), Ruiz (60', 88'), Zalazar (64')
Oliveira (56'), Djalo (74'), Cardoso (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Soma (35'), Lelo (51'), Oliveira (72' og.)
Soma (36'), Tchamba (83'), Lameiras (90+2'), Lameiras (90+2')
Chalo (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Braga
Saturday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Chaves
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Casa Pia
72.78% ( -0.58)	16.26% ( 0.3)	10.95% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 52.6% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.59% (

-0.68)

35.41% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.55% (

-0.76)

57.45% (

0.76)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.56% (

-0.29)

8.44% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.69% (

-0.73)

29.31% (

0.72)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.46% (

0.03)

42.54% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.1% (

0.02)

78.9% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Braga 72.78%

Casa Pia 10.96%

Draw 16.26%

Braga	Draw	Casa Pia
2-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.83% Total : 72.78%	1-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.26%	1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 10.96%