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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Braga

Estoril
0 - 1
Braga

FT(HT: 0-0)
Djalo (64')
Carvalho (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril
Monday, April 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Braga

With the season now at its business end, both Estoril Praia and Braga know that they must avoid any further slip-ups in their final six games. Jorge's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and while we expect Estoril to put up a fight, they should have enough firepower to see off the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
18.19% (-0.169 -0.17) 20.7% (-0.052 -0.05) 61.1% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)40.28% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)62.66% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35% (-0.211 -0.21)35.65% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58% (-0.219 -0.22)72.42% (0.22 0.22)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27% (0.049000000000007 0.05)12.73% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.02% (0.103 0.1)38.97% (-0.103 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.19%
    Braga 61.1%
    Draw 20.7%
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 4.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.68% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 18.19%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.83% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.62% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.41% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.45% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 61.1%

How you voted: Estoril vs Braga

Estoril Praia
20.8%
Draw
4.2%
Braga
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
Final
Braga
1-1
Estoril
Braga win 5-4 on penalties
Horta (20')
Fonte (5'), Djalo (22'), Horta (64')
Cassiano (6' pen.)
Araujo (37'), Fernandes (43'), Pina (45+1'), Guitane (62'), Figueira (83'), Marques (90+5')
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
3-1
Estoril
Horta (31'), Banza (51'), Carne (90' og.)
Fonte (26'), Moutinho (76')
Guitane (24')
Pina (42'), Feltes (67')
Apr 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Braga
4-1
Estoril
Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Eduardo (48')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
0-2
Braga
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
Apr 18, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Estoril
0-0
Braga
Gamboa (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca311361253421145
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
10Casa Pia3088143043-1332
11SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
12Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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