Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 13, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 1
Braga

FT(HT: 0-0)

Djalo (64')
Carvalho (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril
Monday, April 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Braga
18.19% ( -0.17)	20.7% ( -0.05)	61.1% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.72% (

-0.04)

40.28% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.34% (

-0.04)

62.66% (

0.05)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.35% (

-0.21)

35.65% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.58% (

-0.22)

72.42% (

0.22)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.27% (

0.05)

12.73% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.02% (

0.1)

38.97% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 18.19%

Braga 61.1%

Draw 20.7%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.19%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.7%	1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 61.1%