Primeira Liga
Gameweek
29
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Festlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
-
Alvaro Djalo
64'
-
Vitor Carvalho
86'
Estoril Praia vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Festoril.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result
Estoril Praia
18.19%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
20.7%
▼
(-0.06)
Braga
61.1%
▲
(+0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
56.15%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.72%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
40.28%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
37.34%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
62.66%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
20.05%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
79.95%
▲
(+0.04)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5
64.35%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
35.65%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
27.58%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
72.42%
▲
(+0.22)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
87.27%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
12.73%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
61.02%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
38.97%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Estoril Praia
18.19%
Draw
20.7%
Braga
61.1%
Estoril Praia
2-1
@
4.98%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 18.19%
1-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 18.19%
Draw
1-1
@
9.65%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.7%
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.7%
Braga
1-2
@
9.94%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.64% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 61.1%
0-2 @ 9.64% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 61.1%
