Arouca
Arouca
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Boavista
Braga
Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Moreirense
Nacional
Nacional
Porto
Porto
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Braga

Estoril
0 - 1
Braga

FT(HT: 0-0)
Djalo (64')
Carvalho (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril
Monday, April 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
18.19% (-0.169 -0.17)20.7% (-0.052 -0.05)61.1% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)40.28% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)62.66% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35% (-0.211 -0.21)35.65% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58% (-0.219 -0.22)72.42% (0.22 0.22)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27% (0.049000000000007 0.05)12.73% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.02% (0.103 0.1)38.97% (-0.103 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.19%
    Braga 61.1%
    Draw 20.7%
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 4.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.68% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 18.19%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.83% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.62% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.41% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.45% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 61.1%

How you voted: Estoril vs Braga

Estoril Praia
20.8%
Draw
4.2%
Braga
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
Final
Braga
1-1
Estoril
Braga win 5-4 on penalties
Horta (20')
Fonte (5'), Djalo (22'), Horta (64')
Cassiano (6' pen.)
Araujo (37'), Fernandes (43'), Pina (45+1'), Guitane (62'), Figueira (83'), Marques (90+5')
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
3-1
Estoril
Horta (31'), Banza (51'), Carne (90' og.)
Fonte (26'), Moutinho (76')
Guitane (24')
Pina (42'), Feltes (67')
Apr 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Braga
4-1
Estoril
Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Eduardo (48')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
0-2
Braga
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
Apr 18, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Estoril
0-0
Braga
Gamboa (90')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!