Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Joao Moutinho 45'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 9'
  • goal Serdar Saatci 29' (OG)
  • goal Rafa Mujica 34'
  • yellowcard David Simao 46'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 62'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 89'

Braga vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2024 8.15pm
Portimonense 3 - 5 Braga
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Simon Banza

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
Arouca 2 - 1 Farense
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Rafa Mujica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result

Braga 62.96% (-0.07)
Draw 20.62% (-0.24)
Arouca 16.42% (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.71% (+1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.97% (+1.58)
Under 2.5 43.03% (-1.58)
Over 3.5 34.57% (+1.55)
Under 3.5 65.43% (-1.55)
Over 4.5 17.94% (+1.14)
Under 4.5 82.05% (-1.14)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 86.95% (+0.48)
Under 0.5 13.05% (-0.48)
Over 1.5 60.37% (+0.96)
Under 1.5 39.62% (-0.97)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 60.62% (+1.33)
Under 0.5 39.37% (-1.33)
Over 1.5 23.92% (+1.22)
Under 1.5 76.07% (-1.22)

Score analysis

Braga 62.95%
Draw 20.62%
Arouca 16.42%
Braga
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.36)
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.55)
2-1 @ 9.93% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 6.74% (+0.14)
4-0 @ 3.68% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.43% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.6% (+0.12)
5-0 @ 1.5% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.4% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 62.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.37)
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.18)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 20.62%
Arouca
0-1 @ 4.79% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 4.55% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.41% (+0.08)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.42%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • David Simao 40' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 88' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 36'
  • yellowcard Bruma 46'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 85'
  • yellowcard Abel Ruiz 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Abel Ruiz 1' goal
  • Simon Banza 81' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 6.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 4
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Rafael Fernandes 6' yellowcard
  • David Simao 38' yellowcard
  • Bogdan Milovanov 39' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Banza 1'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 4'
  • yellowcard Iuri Medeiros 19'
  • yellowcard Ali Elmusrati 21'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 40'
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 44'
  • yellowcard Diego Lainez 48'
  • goal Andre Castro 67'
  • goal Diego Lainez 76'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 8, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ricardo Horta 87' goal
  • yellowcard Arsenio Nunes 84'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 30, 2021 7.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Eugeni Valderrama 9' yellowcard
  • Armando Evangelista 45'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 5'
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 12'
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 26'
  • yellowcard Yan Couto 54'
  • goal Iuri Medeiros 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mineiro 72'
  • goal Roger Fernandes 74'
  • goal Roger Fernandes 80'
Primeira Liga
Mar 4, 2017 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rui Fonte 12' goal
  • Nikola Vukcevic 53' yellowcard
  • Rui Fonte 69' goal
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 73' goal
  • yellowcard Kuca 15'
  • goal Mateus 17'
  • yellowcard Nuno Valente 27'
  • yellowcard Walter Gonzalez 75'
  • yellowcard Nelsinho 83'