Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Braga

Portimonense
3 - 5
Braga

Pedrao (18' pen.), Pereira (71'), Fukui (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bruma (3', 69'), Fernandes (30'), Banza (49', 61' pen.)
Gomez (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, March 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 13.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawBraga
13.02% (-0.156 -0.16)19.05% (0.080000000000002 0.08)67.93% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.28% (-0.74 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.85% (-0.73800000000001 -0.74)43.15% (0.741 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (-0.732 -0.73)65.55% (0.735 0.73)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.81% (-0.715 -0.72)44.2% (0.719 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.72% (-0.588 -0.59)80.28% (0.59 0.59)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (-0.19 -0.19)11.69% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22% (-0.409 -0.41)36.78% (0.412 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 13.02%
    Braga 67.92%
    Draw 19.05%
PortimonenseDrawBraga
1-0 @ 4.22% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 3.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 1.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 13.02%
1-1 @ 9.06% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 19.05%
0-2 @ 11.9% (0.21 0.21)
0-1 @ 11.08% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 8.52% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 6.95% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-4 @ 4.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.73% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 67.92%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Braga

Portimonense
8.0%
Draw
12.0%
Braga
80.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3.30pm
Fourth Round
Portimonense
1-4
Braga
Relvas (83')
Carlinhos (30'), Zinho (70')
Djalo (13'), Horta (47', 50'), Lopes (76')
Marin (37')
Nov 4, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Braga
6-1
Portimonense
Horta (47'), Elmusrati (52' pen.), Djalo (59'), Banza (83' pen., 87', 90')
Djalo (58')
Pedrao (10')
Costa (42'), Tornich (82')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 30
Braga
4-1
Portimonense
Ruiz (2'), Medeiros (32'), Niakate (38'), Horta (67')
Gomes (45+2')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 13
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Ouattara (40')
Medeiros (65' pen.), Oliveira (83')
> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Carmo (63' og.)
Relvas (41')
Moura (5'), Couto (22')
Moura (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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