Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
| 27.38% ( | 24.53% ( | 48.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( | 46.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% ( | 69.19% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( | 31.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% ( | 67.36% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( | 19.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.48% ( | 51.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 2-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 3-0 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.38% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 2-3 @ 3% ( 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3% Total : 48.09% |