Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Ruiz (39'), Banza (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alipour (59' pen.)
Buta (61'), Pereira (66'), Alipour (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-0 Braga
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Chaves
Monday, March 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Gil Vicente
66.61% ( -0.03)	19.29% ( 0.02)	14.09% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.51% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.24% (

-0.05)

41.76% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.83% (

-0.05)

64.16% (

0.05)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.35% (

-0.03)

11.64% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.31% (

-0.05)

36.68% (

0.05)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.29% (

-0.02)

41.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.82% (

-0.02)

78.17% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Braga 66.6%

Gil Vicente 14.09%

Draw 19.29%

Braga	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-0 @ 11.22% 1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 66.6%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.29%	0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.58% Total : 14.09%