/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Farolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Ffarlog_1.png)
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Tiago Esgaio
45'+1'
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Tiago Esgaio
45'+1'
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Ignacio De Arruabarrena
55'
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Cristo
68'
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Alfonso Trezza
78'
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Pedro Moreira
90'+1'
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Nino Galovic
90'+4'
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Facundo Caseres
49'
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Jose Mota
50'
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Bruno Duarte
82'
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Bruno Duarte
88'
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Facundo Caseres
90'+5'
Arouca vs SC Farense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arouca in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arouca.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Arouca Goals
SC Farense Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 49.06%
2-2 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 27.41%