Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vizela in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vizela.