Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 9, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Do Vizela

Vizela
2 - 1
Farense

Petrov (71'), Soro (85')
Ortiz (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Luis (17')
Belloumi (28'), Falcao (45+2'), Rossi (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Vizela
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Farense
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vizela in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vizela.

Result
Vizela	Draw	SC Farense
46.65% ( -0.04)	23.78% ( 0)	29.56% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 59.59% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79% (

0.02)

42.2% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39% (

0.03)

64.61% (

-0.02)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7% (

-0)

18.3% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.62% (

-0.01)

49.38% (

0.01)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

0.04)

27.06% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

0.05)

62.43% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Vizela 46.65%

SC Farense 29.56%

Draw 23.78%

Vizela	Draw	SC Farense
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 46.65%	1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.56%