Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Isidoro (31')
Matias (22'), Falcao (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Boateng (50')
Patrick (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-0 Braga
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Rio Ave
32.36% ( -0.68)	26.58% ( -0.34)	41.05% ( 1.02)

Both teams to score 51.6% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78% (

1.18)

53.22% (

-1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.22% (

0.99)

74.78% (

-0.99)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

0.14)

30.7% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

0.17)

66.96% (

-0.16)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

1.09)

25.54% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6% (

1.46)

60.41% (

-1.46)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 32.36%

Rio Ave 41.05%

Draw 26.58%

SC Farense	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.36%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.05%