Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 0
Porto

Cassiano (69')
Zanocelo (45+5'), Tavares (46'), Marques (81'), Carne (81'), Pina (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mario (37'), Pepe (65'), Gonzalez (77'), Conceicao (78'), Evanilson (88'), Pepe (90+1'), Otavio (90+1')
Costa (65'), Conceicao (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, March 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 4-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Porto
19.31% ( -0.03)	22.02% ( -0.02)	58.67% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.74% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.53% (

0.05)

44.47% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.16% (

0.05)

66.85% (

-0.05)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.1% (

36.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.31% (

73.69%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.17% (

0.04)

14.83% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.86% (

0.06)

43.14% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 19.31%

Porto 58.66%

Draw 22.02%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.31%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.02%	0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 58.66%