/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fvizlog.png)
-
Francisco Conceicao
55'
-
Pepe
68'
-
Evanilson
77'
-
Toni Martinez
89'
-
Pepe
17'
(OG)
-
Matias Lacava
38'
-
Bruno Costa
41'
-
Matias Lacava
49'
Porto vs Vizela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F09%2Fporto.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Porto
76.06%
▲
(+0.25)
Draw
15.59%
▼
(-0.11)
Vizela
8.34%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
44.01%
▼
(-0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.15%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
40.85%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
36.76%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
63.24%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
19.6%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
80.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
90.97%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
9.03%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
69.26%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
30.74%
▼
(-0.15)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5
48.38%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
51.61%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 1.5
14.25%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
85.75%
▲
(+0.22)
Score analysis
Porto
76.05%
Draw
15.59%
Vizela
8.34%
Porto
2-0
@
13.47%
▲
(+0.08)
1-0 @ 11.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 10.8% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 76.05%
1-0 @ 11.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 10.8% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 76.05%
Draw
1-1
@
7.41%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.59%
0-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.59%
Vizela
0-1
@
3.08%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 8.34%
1-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 8.34%