Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
4 - 1
Vizela

Conceicao (55'), Pepe (68'), Evanilson (77'), Martinez (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pepe (17' og.)
Lacava (38'), Costa (41')
Lacava (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Porto (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Vizela
76.06% ( 0.24)	15.59% ( -0.1)	8.34% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 44.01% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.15% (

40.85% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.76% (

63.24% (

-0)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.97% (

0.06)

9.03% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.26% (

0.14)

30.74% (

-0.14)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.38% (

-0.32)

51.61% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.25% (

-0.21)

85.75% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Porto 76.05%

Vizela 8.34%

Draw 15.59%

Porto	Draw	Vizela
2-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 4.3% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.51% Total : 76.05%	1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.59%	0-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 8.34%