Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 27, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
3 - 1
Chaves

Tchamba (44'), Soma (67'), Lacximicant (90+6')
Santos (37'), Neto (45+3'), Soma (67'), Segovia (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nwakali (65')
Moreno (43'), Guzzo (45+3'), Fernandes (56'), Correia (69'), Sanca (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Porto
Sunday, April 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Chaves
33.82% ( 0)	26.98% ( 0.02)	39.2% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51% (

-0.08)

54.49% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15% (

-0.07)

75.85% (

0.07)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

-0.04)

30.38% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

-0.05)

66.57% (

0.05)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86% (

-0.05)

27.14% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.47% (

-0.07)

62.53% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 33.82%

Chaves 39.2%

Draw 26.98%

Casa Pia	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.82%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 39.2%