/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fchalog.png)
-
Goncalo Santos
37'
-
Duplexe Tchamba
44'
-
Neto
45'+3'
-
Yuki Soma
67'
-
Yuki Soma
67'
-
Telasco Segovia
73'
-
Andre Lacximicant
90'+6'
-
Moreno
43'
-
Raphael Guzzo
45'+3'
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Vasco Fernandes
56'
-
Kelechi Nwakali
65'
-
Joao Correia
69'
-
Leandro Sanca
89'
Casa Pia vs Chaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Fcasa-pia.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result
Casa Pia
33.82%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
26.98%
▲
(+0.02)
Chaves
39.2%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
50.73%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.51%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
54.49%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
24.15%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
75.85%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
10.82%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
89.17%
▲
(+0.05)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
69.62%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
30.38%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
33.43%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
66.57%
▲
(+0.05)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5
72.86%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
27.14%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
37.47%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
62.53%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
33.82%
Draw
26.98%
Chaves
39.2%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
9.82%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.82%
2-1 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.82%
Draw
1-1
@
12.81%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.98%
0-0 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.98%
Chaves
0-1
@
10.75%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 39.2%
1-2 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 39.2%