Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
| 40.76% ( | 26.15% ( | 33.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% ( | 51.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( | 73.12% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( | 24.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( | 59.41% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( | 29.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% ( | 65.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.09% |