Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 7, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
2 - 3
Portimonense

Hernandez (25' pen.), Correia (76')
Carraca (14'), Essugo (21')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Carlinhos (72'), Cassama (83'), Formiga (90+1')
Martins (45+1'), Guzzo (68'), Ventura (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Chaves
Friday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 3-5 Braga
Monday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Portimonense
42% ( 0.45)	24.83% ( -0.13)	33.16% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 57.65% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.5% (

0.51)

45.51% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.17% (

0.48)

67.84% (

-0.48)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33% (

0.43)

21.67% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19% (

0.66)

54.81% (

-0.66)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

0.05)

26.4% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

0.07)

61.56% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Chaves 42.01%

Portimonense 33.16%

Draw 24.83%

Chaves	Draw	Portimonense
2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.01%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.16%