Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
3 - 2
Vizela

Chiquinho (8'), Riccieli (43'), Cadiz (90+5')
Chiquinho (11'), Luis Rodriguez (20'), Youssouf (82'), Riccieli (90'), Moura (90+2'), Cadiz (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lokilo (55'), Petrov (80')
Busnic (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Famalicao
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 0-4 Casa Pia
Sunday, March 31 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Vizela
51.96% ( -0.89)	25.7% ( 0.32)	22.33% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 46.94% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.3% (

-0.61)

55.7% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.15% (

-0.5)

76.85% (

0.5)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

-0.62)

21.49% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

-0.96)

54.53% (

0.96)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.79% (

0.23)

40.21% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.15% (

0.21)

76.85% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 51.95%

Vizela 22.33%

Draw 25.7%

Famalicao	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.13% Total : 51.95%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.33%