Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 46.51% ( | 25.45% ( | 28.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( | 50.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( | 72.37% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( | 21.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.17% ( | 54.83% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( | 32.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.11% ( | 68.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.51% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.03% |