Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 40.41% ( | 26.75% ( | 32.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% ( | 53.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( | 75.23% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( | 26.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.8% ( | 61.2% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( | 30.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( | 66.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.84% |