Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Estoril Praia |
34.26% ( -1.14) | 25.02% ( -0.26) | 40.72% ( 1.4) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.92% ( 0.99) | 46.08% ( -0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.62% ( 0.93) | 68.38% ( -0.93) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.2) | 26.01% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( -0.26) | 61.04% ( 0.26) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.46% ( 1.14) | 22.54% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.88% ( 1.67) | 56.12% ( -1.67) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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