MX23RW : Saturday, May 18 09:02:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Estoril

Chaves
2 - 2
Estoril

Correia (32'), Morim (90+20')
Carraca (1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Basso (58'), Garcia (71')
Alvaro (62')
Araujo (2'), Alvaro (90+12'), Carne (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Chaves
Monday, April 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Braga
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Estoril Praia

Chaves picked up three huge points in their battle at the bottom end of the table last time out and will head into this weekend with renewed confidence. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ChavesDrawEstoril Praia
34.26% (-1.135 -1.14) 25.02% (-0.262 -0.26) 40.72% (1.395 1.4)
Both teams to score 57.31% (0.689 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92% (0.989 0.99)46.08% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62% (0.928 0.93)68.38% (-0.929 -0.93)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.196 -0.2)26.01% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (-0.264 -0.26)61.04% (0.263 0.26)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (1.136 1.14)22.54% (-1.135 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (1.665 1.67)56.12% (-1.666 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 34.26%
    Estoril Praia 40.72%
    Draw 25.02%
ChavesDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 34.26%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.173 0.17)
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.226 0.23)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.185 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.135 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.107 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.72%

How you voted: Chaves vs Estoril

Chaves
35.7%
Draw
35.7%
Estoril Praia
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Estoril
4-0
Chaves
Gomes (6', 61'), Marques (70'), Tavares (90+2')
Araujo (35'), Marques (45'), Holsgrove (49'), Alvaro (90+1')

Rodrigues (57'), Langa (74'), Morim (90+1')
Mar 18, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Estoril
0-2
Chaves
Vitoria (31' pen.), Teixeira (71' pen.)
Oct 1, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 8
Chaves
1-1
Estoril
Hernandez (39')
Martins (76')
Feb 25, 2018 4pm
Chaves
2-0
Estoril
William (17'), Pereira (84')
Pereira (29'), Ferreira (83'), Eustaquio (88')

Rodrigues (32'), Kyriakou (78'), Ribeiro (80')
Sep 23, 2017 4pm
Estoril
0-2
Chaves

Lucao (61'), Evangelista (90')
Bressan (39'), Djavan (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3399154251-936
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!