Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
2 - 2
Estoril

Correia (32'), Morim (90+20')
Carraca (1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Basso (58'), Garcia (71')
Alvaro (62')
Araujo (2'), Alvaro (90+12'), Carne (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Chaves
Monday, April 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Braga
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Estoril Praia
34.26% ( -1.14)	25.02% ( -0.26)	40.72% ( 1.4)

Both teams to score 57.31% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.92% (

0.99)

46.08% (

-0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62% (

0.93)

68.38% (

-0.93)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

-0.2)

26.01% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.96% (

-0.26)

61.04% (

0.26)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

1.14)

22.54% (

-1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.88% (

1.67)

56.12% (

-1.67)

Score Analysis

Chaves 34.26%

Estoril Praia 40.72%

Draw 25.02%

Chaves	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.26%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02%	1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.72%