/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
-
Nuno Moreira
37'
-
Neto
58'
-
Nermin Zolotic
66'
-
Gaizka Larrazabal
78'
-
Galeno
31'
-
Nico Gonzalez
56'
-
Wendell
90'+7'
Casa Pia vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Fcasa-pia.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 9.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.5%) and 0-3 (10.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Casa Pia
9.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
17.1%
▲
(+0.04)
Porto
73.71%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
42.52%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.06%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
44.94%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 3.5
32.71%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 3.5
67.29%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 4.5
16.58%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
83.42%
▲
(+0.15)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
47.59%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
52.41%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
13.73%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
86.27%
▲
(+0.12)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
89.34%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
10.66%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
65.48%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
34.52%
▲
(+0.14)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
9.19%
Draw
17.1%
Porto
73.69%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
3.61%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 9.19%
2-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 9.19%
Draw
1-1
@
8.08%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 17.1%
0-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 17.1%
Porto
0-2
@
13.99%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 12.5% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 10.44% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 73.69%
0-1 @ 12.5% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 10.44% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 73.69%