Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Porto
1 - 2
Guimaraes

Galeno (44')
Wendell (37'), Mario (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Galeno (12' og.), Silva (33')
Freitas (45+1'), Freitas (53'), Ribeiro (62'), Silva (72'), Mendes (75'), Varela (89'), Oliveira (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
62.06% (0.323 0.32)20.3% (-0.269 -0.27)17.64% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.49% (0.84099999999999 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.68% (1.161 1.16)39.32% (-1.161 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.34% (1.204 1.2)61.66% (-1.204 -1.2)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.83% (0.44699999999999 0.45)12.17% (-0.448 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.2% (0.935 0.94)37.79% (-0.935 -0.94)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (0.634 0.63)35.68% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (0.65 0.65)72.45% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Porto 62.06%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 17.64%
    Draw 20.3%
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.34 -0.34)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.67% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.116 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.092 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.075 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 62.06%
1-1 @ 9.42% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.078 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.47% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 17.64%

How you voted: Porto vs Guimaraes

Porto
71.4%
Draw
19.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
9.5%
42
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 8.15pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Mendes (58'), Borevkovic (71'), Cesar (79')
Pepe (52')
Sanchez (45+8'), Otavio (56'), Wendell (80')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Guimaraes
1-2
Porto
Silva (17')
Silva (27'), Silva (72'), Silva (90+5')
Sanusi (39'), Conceicao (59')
Conceicao (26'), Galeno (85'), Sanchez (90')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 34
Porto
3-0
Guimaraes
Taremi (8'), Otavio (32'), Evanilson (39')
Otavio (72'), Uribe (87')

Silva (40'), Freitas (44'), Tounkara (62'), Silva (71'), Sa (72'), Indio (89')
Handel (2')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto
Mario (45+2')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Estupinan (12'), Janvier (73'), Esteves (88'), Duarte (90+8'), Rochinha (90+8')
Estupinan (80')
Taremi (36' pen.)
Otavio (30'), Costa (90+2')
> Preview