Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 14, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
2 - 2
Casa Pia

Tamble (8'), Tornich (26')
Formiga (58'), Nakamura (60')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Soma (34'), Zolotic (59')
Tchamba (25'), Moreira (47'), Mukendi (87')
Mukendi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-3 Portimonense
Sunday, April 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril
Monday, April 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Casa Pia
31.1% ( 0.15)	26.12% ( -0.03)	42.78% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 52.57% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.25% (

0.2)

51.74% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.48% (

0.17)

73.51% (

-0.17)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18% (

0.2)

30.82% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.9% (

0.23)

67.1% (

-0.23)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76% (

0.03)

24% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.74% (

0.05)

58.25% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 31.1%

Casa Pia 42.77%

Draw 26.12%

Portimonense	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.1%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.77%