Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 17, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
3 - 1
Guimaraes

(Porto win 4-1 on aggregate)

Taremi (26' pen.), Conceicao (45+5'), Pepe (75')
Taremi (55')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Freitas (1')
Silva (16'), Borevkovic (25'), Silva (35'), Silva (44'), Gaspar (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Porto and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Porto 2-2 Famalicao
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Farense
Saturday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 15.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
64.2% ( 1.82)	20.51% ( -0.6)	15.3% ( -1.21)

Both teams to score 50.48% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.32% (

0.36)

44.69% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95% (

0.35)

67.05% (

-0.33)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.8% (

0.66)

13.2% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.07% (

1.31)

39.94% (

-1.3)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.16% (

-1.36)

41.84% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.71% (

-1.21)

78.3% (

1.22)

Score Analysis

Porto 64.19%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 15.3%

Draw 20.51%

Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.98% Total : 64.19%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.51%	0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.3%