Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.