Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 13, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 1
Farense

Fernandes (90+6')
Fernandes (17'), Pacheco (18'), Gaspar (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Duarte (9')
Falcao (40'), Duarte (65'), Pastor (88'), Oliveira (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 1-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, April 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 2-0 Boavista
Friday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	SC Farense
63.84% ( 0.01)	20.13% ( 0.01)	16.03% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.5% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.45% (

-0.08)

41.54% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.05% (

-0.08)

63.94% (

0.08)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.65% (

-0.02)

12.34% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.83% (

-0.04)

38.16% (

0.04)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.04% (

-0.07)

38.96% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.31% (

-0.07)

75.68% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 63.83%

SC Farense 16.03%

Draw 20.13%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	SC Farense
2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 63.83%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.13%	0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.03%