Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 27, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 1
Braga

Leonardo (71', 90+5'), Neres (85')
Leonardo (90+5'), Carvalho (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Horta (28')
Moutinho (79'), Ndour (82'), Kokcu (82'), Carvalho (90+8')
Gomez (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 1-3 Benfica
Monday, April 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Vizela
Saturday, April 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.13%. A win for Braga had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Braga
54.13% ( 0)	22.06% ( -0)	23.8% ( -0)

Both teams to score 60.28% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.08% (

38.92% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.76% (

61.23% (

-0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.59% (

14.4% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.68% (

0.01)

42.31% (

-0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42% (

-0)

29.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4% (

-0)

65.6% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Benfica 54.13%

Braga 23.8%

Draw 22.05%

Benfica	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 9.74% 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.16% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.29% Total : 54.13%	1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.05%	1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.15% Total : 23.8%