Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Marcos Leonardo 71' goal
  • David Neres 85' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 90'+5' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Vitor Carvalho 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Horta 28'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 79'
  • yellowcard Cher Ndour 82'
  • yellowcard Orkun Kokcu 82'
  • redcard Victor Gomez 89'
  • yellowcard Vitor Carvalho 90'+8'

Benfica vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2024 8.15pm
Farense 1 - 3 Benfica
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Rafa Silva

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 8.30pm
Braga 2 - 1 Vizela
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Simon Banza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.13%. A win for Braga had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result

Benfica 54.13% (+0.01)
Draw 22.06% (-0.01)
Braga 23.8% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.28% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.08% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 38.92% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 38.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 61.23% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 21.16% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 78.84% (-0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 85.59% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.4% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 57.68% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 42.31% (-0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 70.42% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.57% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.4% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.6% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Benfica 54.13%
Draw 22.05%
Braga 23.8%
Benfica
2-1 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 6.29% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 3.83%
4-1 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 54.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.05%
Braga
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 23.8%

Head to Head

Taca de Portugal
Jan 10, 2024 8.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Morato 40' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 42' goal
  • Arthur Cabral 44' goal
  • Angel di Maria 60' yellowcard
  • Fredrik Aursnes 70' goal
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 7'
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 48'
  • yellowcard Victor Gomez 58'
  • yellowcard Paulo Oliveira 72'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Dec 17, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Serdar Saatci 26' yellowcard
  • Jose Fonte 76' yellowcard
  • Vitor Carvalho 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morato 2'
  • goal Casper Tengstedt 3'
  • yellowcard Anatoliy Trubin 89'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Rafa Silva 67' goal
Taca de Portugal
Feb 9, 2023 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
ET
  • Ali Elmusrati 36' goal
  • goal Goncalo Guedes 15'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Dec 30, 2022 9.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Abel Ruiz 2' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 32' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 70' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 1, 2022 8.15pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Abel Ruiz 8' yellowcard
  • Iuri Medeiros 28' goal
  • Ali Elmusrati 30' yellowcard
  • Andre Horta 59' goal
  • Vitor Oliveira 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jan Vertonghen 26'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 74'
  • goal Joao Mario 77'