Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Benfica

Farense
1 - 3
Benfica

Belloumi (23')
Falcao (53')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kokcu (16'), Cabral (34'), Fernandez (67')
Luis (26'), Mario (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Farense
Saturday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Benfica (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawBenfica
14.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)19.83% (0.195 0.19)65.89% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.786 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.976 -0.98)43.79% (0.979 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.96299999999999 -0.96)66.18% (0.96600000000001 0.97)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.29% (-0.67700000000001 -0.68)42.71% (0.681 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.95% (-0.583 -0.58)79.04% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)12.44% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.63% (-0.693 -0.69)38.37% (0.695 0.7)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 14.28%
    Benfica 65.89%
    Draw 19.83%
SC FarenseDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 4.52% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 4.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.92% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 14.28%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 19.83%
0-2 @ 11.54% (0.2 0.2)
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.02% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.82% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 4.18% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.55% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-5 @ 1.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.48% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 65.89%

How you voted: Farense vs Benfica

SC Farense
10.3%
Draw
5.2%
Benfica
84.5%
58
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Benfica
1-1
Farense
Silva (71')
Otamendi (78'), Mario (82')
Falcao (51')
Muscat (36'), Caseres (90'), Pastor (90')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 20
Farense
0-0
Benfica
Pedro (86'), Lucca (90+6')
Gabriel (31'), Otamendi (89')
> Preview
Oct 4, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 3
Benfica
3-2
Farense
Pizzi (15'), Seferovic (79', 87')
Gabriel (50'), Otamendi (52'), Almeida (71')
Lucca (54'), Fernandes (90+5')
Nunes (34'), Cesar (63'), Scheid (89')