MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 22:27:06| >> :120:44637:44637:
[monks data]
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 21, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio de São Luís
Benfica

Farense
0 - 0
Benfica


Pedro (86'), Lucca (90+6')
FT

Gabriel (31'), Otamendi (89')

Preview: SC Farense vs. Benfica - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Benfica will be looking to put an end to a run of inconsistency which has seen them drop to fourth in the Primeira Liga table when they travel to SC Farense on Sunday.

As Aguias have won just one of their last six league matches, while the hosts come into this game with some renewed confidence, having dragged themselves off the foot of the table with four points from their last two games.


Match preview

Benfica coach Jorge Jesus in the Europa League on February 18, 2021© Reuters

Farense have reason to be optimistic based on the last few matches, having picked up a commendable five points from their last four games, and four points from the last two matches.

Most recently, Os Leoes de Faro secured an impressive 2-2 draw away at sixth-placed Vitoria de Guimaraes thanks to a late equaliser.

Ryan Gauld scored a penalty in the first half to draw the game level after an early Pepelu goal, but the hosts took the lead once again through Marcus Edwards, before Farense's task was made even tougher when full-back Alex Pinto was shown a red card on the hour mark.

However, they managed to equalise through substitute Nikola Stojiljkovic with 10 minutes to go, sealing a crucial point in their bid to survive immediate relegation back to the second tier after they were promoted last season.

Before that draw, Jorge Costa's side secured a dramatic 3-2 victory away at Nacional.

Farense led 2-0 through Andre Pinto and Gauld, but the visitors pulled the game back to 2-2 in the second half with goals from Joao Vigario and Pedro Mendes before goalscorer Mendes made the final impact, turning the ball into his own goal in the final five minutes to hand all three points to Costa's men.

Since his appointment as manager at the beginning of February, the former Porto defender has lifted the Algarve side off the foot of the table, with one win, two draws and a narrow loss from his four games in charge.

He will be hoping to continue that upturn in form in this game, when they welcome a strong but inconsistent Benfica side to the Estadio de Sao Luis.

Benfica's Haris Seferovic celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

Although their league form has been disappointing recently, Jorge Jesus's side come into this game following a decent result in the Europa League on Thursday, when they drew 1-1 with Arsenal in the first leg of their Europa League round-of-32 tie.

Pizzi put As Aguias ahead from the penalty spot soon after half time, but Bukayo Saka equalised instantly for the Gunners, seeing the sides go into the second leg level.

Jesus's side drew 1-1 at home to Moreirense most recently in league action, when a Haris Seferovic goal was cancelled out by a Yan penalty before half time.

That meant As Aguias have won just one of their last six matches in Primeira Liga action, seeing them move down to fourth place in the top flight after previously battling with Porto for second place.

Jesus will be desperate to return to winning ways in this game, as the side from Lisbon look to break back into the top three of the Primeira Liga and put pressure on the sides above them.

SC Farense Primeira Liga form: LLDLWD

Benfica Primeira Liga form: DDLDWD
Benfica form (all competitions): LDWWDD


Team News

Benfica's Darwin Nunez celebrates with a teammate after scoring against Rangers on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Farense will be without right-back Alex Pinto, who faces a one-match suspension for the red card shown in the draw with Vitoria.

Fellow right-back Tomas Tavares will also be unavailable for this match as he is ineligible to play against his parent club, having joined Farense on loan from Benfica in January.

However, left-back Fabio Nunes will return to the squad after he served a suspension in the draw with Vitoria, meaning Abner could be shifted out to the right side of Os Leoes de Faro's defence for this match.

Ryan Gauld will be the key man for the hosts, with the Scotsman registering seven goals and four assists in 19 Primeira Liga games this campaign.

He could be joined by Stojiljkovic, who strengthened his case for a starting spot by scoring off the bench to earn Farense a point on Wednesday.

Benfica have been boosted by the return of Luca Waldschmidt, who started the Europa League tie against Arsenal, however the German may be given a rest in this game and eased back into league action, having just returned from a lengthy spell on the sidelines.

Darwin Nunez and Haris Seferovic are expected to lead the attack for As Aguias, with the pair having a combined 12 goals and 10 assists in the Primeira Liga this season.

They are not without injury worries though, with young striker Goncalo Ramos out with a muscle injury, joining experienced defenders Jardel and Andre Almeida, who both remain out of contention.

Helton Leite has been preferred to Odysseas Vlachodimos in the Benfica net in recent weeks, with the Brazilian starting the last three matches in all competitions.

Whichever goalkeeper is selected will be shielded by the centre-back pairing of Nicolas Otamendi and Jan Vertonghen, who form one of the league's strongest defences.

SC Farense possible starting lineup:
Defendi; Abner, Pinto, Mancha, Nunes; Oudrhiri, Lucca; Lica, Gauld, Queta; Stojiljkovic

Benfica possible starting lineup:
Leite; Gilberto, Otamendi, Vertonghen, Grimaldo; Silva, Weigl, Taarabt, Everton; Nunez, Seferovic


SM words green background

We say: SC Farense 1-2 Benfica

With As Aguias struggling to find consistency in the league, as well as an upturn in form for the hosts, we see this being a very close game, but expect Benfica to just edge it thanks to their superior attacking talent.

The combination of Nunez and Seferovic, possibly supported by the returning Waldschmidt, could cause Farense major issues, and we expect the 39-time champions to pick up all three points at the Estadio de Sao Luis.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



ID:435839:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11264:
Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 11.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.14%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Farense vs Benfica

SC Farense
12.0%
Draw
16.0%
Benfica
72.0%
25
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Arsenal's Bukayo Saka pictured on January 2, 2021
Read Next:
Bukayo Saka insists Arsenal will "definitely" go through if chances are taken
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!