Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vizela |
| 74.2% ( | 15.94% ( | 9.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.7% ( | 37.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.49% ( | 59.5% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.41% ( | 8.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.33% ( | 29.66% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.09% ( | 45.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.35% ( | 81.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 11.87% 3-0 @ 9.72% ( 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 3-1 @ 7.57% ( 4-0 @ 5.97% ( 4-1 @ 4.65% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 5-0 @ 2.93% ( 5-1 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.81% 6-0 @ 1.2% 6-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 74.2% | 1-1 @ 7.53% ( 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 2-2 @ 3.6% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 15.94% | 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 1-2 @ 2.93% ( 0-2 @ 1.2% ( 2-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 9.85% |