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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Braga

Guimaraes
2 - 3
Braga

Gaspar (10'), Mangas (80')
Charles (25'), Gaspar (50'), Andre (69'), Santos (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bruma (24'), Horta (75'), Lopes (90+3')
Fonte (38'), Niakate (83'), Lopes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Last Game: Braga 4-3 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBraga
36.45% (-0.266 -0.27)25.36% (0.020000000000003 0.02)38.19% (0.249 0.25)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)47.32% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)69.54% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)25.33% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (-0.263 -0.26)60.12% (0.264 0.26)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (0.092999999999989 0.09)24.38% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21% (0.129 0.13)58.79% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 36.45%
    Braga 38.19%
    Draw 25.36%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBraga
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 36.45%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.15% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.19%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Braga

Vitoria de Guimaraes
17.4%
Draw
17.4%
Braga
65.2%
23
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 16
Braga
1-1
Guimaraes
Carvalho (53')
Horta (70'), Carvalho (83')
Mendes (90+8')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 22
Guimaraes
2-1
Braga
Silva (31' pen.), Safira (41')
Djalo (88')
> Preview
Jan 11, 2023 6.45pm
Round of 16
Braga
3-2
Guimaraes
Ruiz (80', 85'), Oliveira (83')
Silva (16'), Silva (45+6')
Sep 3, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Braga
1-0
Guimaraes
Tormena (90+8')
Elmusrati (45+1'), Silva (90+1')

Amaro (2'), Freitas (18'), Fernandes (23'), Varela (59'), Lameiras (90+1'), Silva (90+1'), Safira (90+6')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Guimaraes
2-1
Braga
Estupinan (18'), Luz (90')
Silva (3'), Estupinan (29'), Handel (43'), Fernandes (45')
Semedo (58')
Oliveira (48')
Rodrigues (20')
> Preview