Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 27, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Boavista

Handel (11')
Andre (40'), Santos (56'), Cesar (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lourenco (14'), Awaziem (29'), Malheiro (70'), Makouta (87')
Awaziem (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, April 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Boavista
58.59% ( -0.33)	21.81% ( 0.15)	19.59% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 54.93% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.87% (

-0.39)

43.12% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.47% (

-0.39)

65.52% (

0.39)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.59% (

-0.23)

14.4% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.68% (

-0.45)

42.31% (

0.45)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.18% (

-0.03)

35.82% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.4% (

-0.03)

72.59% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 58.59%

Boavista 19.59%

Draw 21.8%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 58.59%	1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.8%	0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 19.59%