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Benfica
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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Guimaraes

Goncalves (30'), Gyokeres (45+3', 49')
Trincao (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Oliveira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, April 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Guimaraes
Wednesday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 10.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 3-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
74.55% (-0.328 -0.33)14.75% (0.201 0.2)10.7% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.378 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.7% (-0.657 -0.66)28.3% (0.661 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.88% (-0.818 -0.82)49.12% (0.82100000000001 0.82)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (-0.203 -0.2)6.43% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.93% (-0.565 -0.56)24.06% (0.568 0.57)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.08% (-0.266 -0.27)37.92% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.31% (-0.261 -0.26)74.69% (0.264 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 74.55%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 10.7%
    Draw 14.75%
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.146 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 8.4% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.14% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.184 0.18)
4-0 @ 5.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.59% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 3.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.051 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.4% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 74.55%
1-1 @ 6.49% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.44% (0.095 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 14.75%
1-2 @ 3.14% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.36% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.15% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 10.7%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon
87.1%
Draw
9.7%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Guimaraes
3-2
Sporting Lisbon
Silva (45+7' pen.), Silva (73'), Silva (80')
Mangas (27'), Carlos (89'), Silva (90+4')
Inacio (42'), Santos (77')
Esgaio (17'), Neto (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Guimaraes
0-2
Sporting Lisbon
Goncalves (47'), Arthur (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Guimaraes
Edwards (34', 55'), Morita (40')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Guimaraes
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Estupinan (23')
Fernandes (26'), Mumin (27'), Silva (39'), Varela (45')
Pepa (28')
Sarabia (45+1' pen.), Paulinho (70'), Edwards (90+8')
Santos (51'), Esgaio (54')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Guimaraes
Coates (31')
Feddal (88'), Ugarte (90')

Silva (23'), Borevkovic (25')
> Preview