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Arouca
Benfica
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Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
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Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Guimaraes

Goncalves (30'), Gyokeres (45+3', 49')
Trincao (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Oliveira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Guimaraes
Wednesday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

While Sporting's midweek victory was not the prettiest, Os Leoes are a different beast at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Indeed, Vitoria cannot be underestimated, but we feel they will be no match for the hosts in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 10.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 3-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
74.55% (-0.328 -0.33) 14.75% (0.201 0.2) 10.7% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.378 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.7% (-0.657 -0.66)28.3% (0.661 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.88% (-0.818 -0.82)49.12% (0.82100000000001 0.82)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (-0.203 -0.2)6.43% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.93% (-0.565 -0.56)24.06% (0.568 0.57)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.08% (-0.266 -0.27)37.92% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.31% (-0.261 -0.26)74.69% (0.264 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 74.55%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 10.7%
    Draw 14.75%
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.146 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 8.4% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.14% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.184 0.18)
4-0 @ 5.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.59% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 3.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.051 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.4% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 74.55%
1-1 @ 6.49% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.44% (0.095 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 14.75%
1-2 @ 3.14% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.36% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.15% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 10.7%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon
87.1%
Draw
9.7%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Guimaraes
3-2
Sporting Lisbon
Silva (45+7' pen.), Silva (73'), Silva (80')
Mangas (27'), Carlos (89'), Silva (90+4')
Inacio (42'), Santos (77')
Esgaio (17'), Neto (90+4')
Apr 24, 2023 8.15pm
Nov 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Guimaraes
Edwards (34', 55'), Morita (40')
Mar 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Guimaraes
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Estupinan (23')
Fernandes (26'), Mumin (27'), Silva (39'), Varela (45')
Pepa (28')
Sarabia (45+1' pen.), Paulinho (70'), Edwards (90+8')
Santos (51'), Esgaio (54')
Oct 30, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Guimaraes
Coates (31')
Feddal (88'), Ugarte (90')

Silva (23'), Borevkovic (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3399154251-936
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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