Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 46.43% ( | 26.43% ( | 27.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.2% ( | 54.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% ( | 76.1% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( | 23.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% ( | 57.64% ( |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( | 35.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.84% ( | 72.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 4-0 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.42% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.14% |