Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.