Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI
Estrela Amadora

Boavista
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Abascal (90+2')
Vukotic (47'), Abascal (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinho (75')
Vieira (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Boavista
Sunday, April 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
BoavistaDrawEstrela Amadora
46.43% (0.361 0.36)26.43% (0.02 0.02)27.14% (-0.378 -0.38)
Both teams to score 49.37% (-0.322 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.2% (-0.28599999999999 -0.29)54.8% (0.29 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (-0.237 -0.24)76.1% (0.239 0.24)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (0.046999999999997 0.05)23.57% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (0.066000000000003 0.07)57.64% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.6% (-0.46000000000001 -0.46)35.39% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.481 -0.48)72.16% (0.48400000000001 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Boavista 46.42%
    Estrela Amadora 27.14%
    Draw 26.42%
BoavistaDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 27.14%

How you voted: Boavista vs Estrela Amadora

Boavista
46.4%
Draw
39.3%
Estrela Amadora
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
Estrela Amadora
3-1
Boavista
Jaba (52'), Abascal (78' og.), Kikas (84')
Luiz (31'), Cordeiro (36'), Gaspar (63'), Almeida (72')
Tavares (74')
Ferreira (25'), Perez (78')