Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Porto

Braga
0 - 1
Porto


Gomez (8'), Oliveira (13'), Borja (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Galeno (84')
Conceicao (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-3 Braga
Saturday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Boavista
Sunday, May 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawPorto
36.45% (-0.358 -0.36)24.91% (0.171 0.17)38.64% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 58.06% (-0.646 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (-0.823 -0.82)45.26% (0.82400000000001 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-0.796 -0.8)67.6% (0.795 0.8)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (-0.57199999999999 -0.57)24.38% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21% (-0.814 -0.81)58.79% (0.814 0.81)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.271 -0.27)23.22% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (-0.399 -0.4)57.12% (0.398 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Braga 36.45%
    Porto 38.64%
    Draw 24.9%
BragaDrawPorto
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 36.45%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.198 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.224 0.22)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.64%

How you voted: Braga vs Porto

Braga
31.8%
Draw
27.3%
Porto
40.9%
44
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 17
Porto
2-0
Braga
Cardoso (12'), Evanilson (49' pen.)
Pepe (25'), Gonzalez (62'), Conceicao (66'), Conceicao (66')

Horta (26'), Carvalho (45+2'), Oliveira (79'), Djalo (82'), Fonte (90+1')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 5.15pm
Final
Braga
0-2
Porto

Horta (29'), Borja (35'), Gomez (66'), Bruma (85')
Niakate (79')
Horta (53' og.), Otavio (81')
Otavio (25'), Galeno (60'), Conceicao (66'), Uribe (72'), Taremi (76'), Pepe (85')
Wendell (62')
> Match Report
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 25
Braga
0-0
Porto
> Preview
Sep 30, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 8
Porto
4-1
Braga
Evanilson (32'), Eustaquio (34'), Pepe (63'), Galeno (90+6')
Pepe (55' og.)
> Preview
Apr 25, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 31
Braga
1-0
Porto
Horta (54')
Oliveira (33'), Silva (90+2')

Pepe (76'), Galeno (90+2')
> Preview