Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 28, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Evanilson (7'), Pepe (40')
Wendell (76'), Galeno (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gyokeres (87', 88')
St Juste (45+2'), Hjulmand (90+2')
Edwards (90')

The Match

Match Report

Sporting Lisbon forward Viktor Gyokeres nets a late brace to rescue a point against Porto at the Estadio do Dragao in the Primeira Liga.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Porto
Sunday, April 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, April 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
44.43% ( 0.04)	23.75% ( -0.02)	31.81% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 60.96% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.06% (

0.06)

40.94% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.67% (

0.07)

63.33% (

-0.07)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.29% (

0.04)

18.7% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.94% (

0.07)

50.06% (

-0.07)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.99% (

0.02)

25.01% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.32% (

0.02)

59.67% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Porto 44.43%

Sporting Lisbon 31.81%

Draw 23.74%

Porto	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 44.43%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.74%	1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.81%