Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 72.74%. A draw has a probability of 16.8% and a win for Chaves has a probability of 10.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 0-2 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (10.46%) and 0-3 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8%), while for a Chaves win it is 1-0 (3.41%).
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Porto |
10.42% ( 0.51) | 16.84% ( 0.65) | 72.74% ( -1.16) |
Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.1% ( -1.56) | 39.9% ( 1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.74% ( -1.64) | 62.26% ( 1.64) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.44% ( -0.06) | 46.56% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.85% ( -0.05) | 82.15% ( 0.05) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.42% ( -0.67) | 9.58% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.96% ( -1.59) | 32.04% ( 1.59) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 10.42% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.84% | 0-2 @ 12.26% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.45) 0-3 @ 9.59% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 7.33% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 5.63% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 2.64% ( -0.21) 1-5 @ 2.02% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.64% Total : 72.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |