Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 12, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 1
Boavista

Pedro (81'), Taremi (90+8')
Conceicao (2'), Otavio (45+1'), Varela (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lourenco (60')
Perez (24'), Malheiro (40'), Lourenco (45+3'), Agra (49'), Santos (56'), Reisinho (74'), Goncalves (78'), Makouta (90+6')
Malheiro (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Porto
Saturday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.9%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.91%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Boavista
79.9% ( -2.19)	13.05% ( 1.31)	7.05% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 47.43% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.99% (

-3.12)

33.02% (

3.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.26% (

-3.68)

54.74% (

3.68)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.56% (

-1.03)

6.44% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.9% (

-2.9)

24.1% (

2.9)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.7% (

0.1)

49.3% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.83% (

0.07)

84.17% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Porto 79.89%

Boavista 7.05%

Draw 13.05%

Porto	Draw	Boavista
2-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.57) 3-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.91) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.57) 4-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.39) 5-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.59) 5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.41) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.28) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.54% Total : 79.89%	1-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.66) 0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.73% Total : 13.05%	0-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.63% Total : 7.05%