Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Moreirense |
| 40.15% ( | 27.11% ( | 32.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.8% ( | 55.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( | 76.43% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( | 26.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( | 62.27% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% ( | 31.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.17% ( | 67.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.74% |