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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Portimonense

Farense
1 - 3
Portimonense

Ponde (55')
Pastor (49'), Silva (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pereira (11'), Carlinhos (32'), Ventura (90+7')
Guga (83')
Relvas (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Farense
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, May 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawPortimonense
48.92% (-0.215 -0.22)22.17% (-0.111 -0.11)28.91% (0.327 0.33)
Both teams to score 64.99% (0.663 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.1% (0.767 0.77)34.9% (-0.766 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.12% (0.852 0.85)56.88% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3% (0.208 0.21)14.7% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.12% (0.39700000000001 0.4)42.88% (-0.396 -0.4)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (0.59399999999999 0.59)23.81% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (0.84500000000001 0.85)57.98% (-0.845 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 48.92%
    Portimonense 28.91%
    Draw 22.17%
SC FarenseDrawPortimonense
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.71% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 4.23% (0.076 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.92%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.5% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 2.03% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.088 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.045 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 28.91%

How you voted: Farense vs Portimonense

SC Farense
0.0%
Draw
20.0%
Portimonense
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 17
Portimonense
1-0
Farense
Carlinhos (58' pen.)
Pedrao (18'), Carlinhos (69')

Caseres (39'), Delgado (73'), Muscat (90+5')
Apr 27, 2021 9.45pm
Gameweek 29
Farense
1-1
Portimonense
Henrique (24')
Mancha (35'), Lucca (41')
Boa Morte (79')
Willyan (33'), Cande (83')
Jan 4, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 12
Portimonense
2-0
Farense
Beto (72', 90+2')
Willyan (55'), Luquinhas (68'), Dener (89')

Stojiljkovic (45+2'), Pinto (57')