Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Portimonense |
| 48.92% ( | 22.17% ( | 28.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.1% ( | 34.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.12% ( | 56.88% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% ( | 14.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.12% ( | 42.88% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( | 23.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.02% ( | 57.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Portimonense |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 4-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.92% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 3-3 @ 2.03% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.91% |