Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Carlinhos (63'), Varela (90+7')
Carlinhos (82'), Estrela (90+5'), Davis (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Oudrhiri (21'), Pantalon (83')
Manuel (89'), Boateng (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Portimonense
Saturday, May 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Rio Ave
25.94% ( -0.72)	26.76% ( 0.32)	47.3% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

-1.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.24% (

-1.61)

56.76% (

1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.3% (

-1.31)

77.7% (

1.31)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53% (

-1.49)

37.47% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75% (

-1.49)

74.25% (

1.49)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99% (

-0.51)

24.01% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.73% (

-0.74)

58.27% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 25.94%

Rio Ave 47.3%

Draw 26.76%

Portimonense	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.94%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.59) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.3%