Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Portimonense

Paulinho (13'), Trincao (70'), Gyokeres (90+2')
Esgaio (61'), Inacio (79'), Santos (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Formiga (72'), Formiga (75'), Cassama (81'), Varela (82'), Cassama (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, April 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 0-2 Moreirense
Sunday, April 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 86.84%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 4.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.61%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Portimonense
86.84% ( 0.11)	8.51% ( -0.02)	4.65% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 54.16% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.36% (

-0.44)

18.63% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

63.88% (

-0.64)

36.11% (

0.63)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.19% (

-0.06)

2.8% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.18% (

-0.19)

12.81% (

0.18)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.72% (

-0.81)

44.27% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.65% (

-0.66)

80.35% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 86.84%

Portimonense 4.65%

Draw 8.51%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Portimonense
3-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.14) 6-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 2% ( -0.07) 7-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 6-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 5.61% Total : 86.84%	1-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.03% Total : 8.51%	1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 4.65%