Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 28, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
0 - 2
Moreirense

Luan (58'), Pereira (59'), Camacho (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Brito Gonzaga (76'), Camacho (90+4')
Costa (90+1'), Silva (90+3'), Ramos (90+3'), Camacho (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 2-2 Portimonense
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 0-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Moreirense
26.06% ( -0.33)	25.83% ( -0.15)	48.11% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 50.3% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.82% (

0.37)

53.18% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.25% (

0.32)

74.75% (

-0.32)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.58% (

-0.08)

35.42% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.82% (

-0.08)

72.18% (

0.08)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

0.37)

22.11% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

0.56)

55.48% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 26.06%

Moreirense 48.11%

Draw 25.82%

Portimonense	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.06%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 48.11%