Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 43.72% ( | 26.51% ( | 29.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% ( | 53.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.71% ( | 75.29% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% | 24.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.11% ( | 58.89% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( | 32.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( | 69.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.76% |